2024 senate elections

I think thats the responsible thing to do, said Sen. Angus King (I-Maine), who caucuses with Democrats and picked up a Republican-held seat in 2012. 2024 Senate Elections - FiveThirtyEight [39][4], Feinstein continued to demur on her re-election plans, at one point saying she would not announce her decision until 2024. if("undefined"==typeof window.datawrapper)window.datawrapper={};window.datawrapper["kyT8O"]={},window.datawrapper["kyT8O"].embedDeltas={"100":486,"200":443,"300":421,"400":421,"500":400,"700":400,"800":400,"900":400,"1000":400},window.datawrapper["kyT8O"].iframe=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-kyT8O"),window.datawrapper["kyT8O"].iframe.style.height=window.datawrapper["kyT8O"].embedDeltas[Math.min(1e3,Math.max(100*Math.floor(window.datawrapper["kyT8O"].iframe.offsetWidth/100),100))]+"px",window.addEventListener("message",function(a){if("undefined"!=typeof a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var b in a.data["datawrapper-height"])if("kyT8O"==b)window.datawrapper["kyT8O"].iframe.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][b]+"px"}); if(document.getElementsByClassName("reference").length==0) if(document.getElementById('Footnotes')!==null) document.getElementById('Footnotes').parentNode.style.display = 'none'; Communications: Alison Graves Carley Allensworth Abigail Campbell Sarah Groat Erica Shumaker Caitlin Vanden Boom On May 1, 2023, Cardin announced he is not running for reelection. Jacquelyn Martin/AP Photo, Arizonans are in the middle of a very busy election season, and its important we focus our resources on keeping Mark Kelly in the Senate instead of starting the next campaign anytime soon. Chip in to support her", "Bay Area leaders have two clear favorites in California Senate race", "Rep. Barbara Lee launches campaign for US Senate", "S.F. Spartz eyes Senate run in 2024 as Braun pursues gov race", "McCormick hints at run for Indiana governor, while other Democrats still mum", "What's next for Indy Mayor Joe Hogsett? California uses a nonpartisan blanket primary, in which all candidates regardless of party affiliation appear on the same primary ballot and the two highest-placing candidates . 1. Click here for coverage of U.S. Senate elections in 2022. And I havent gotten to that point yet., I actually like to do those announcements as announcements. The map and table below shows what seats are up for election and the current incumbent in each race. It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Of the 33 regularly scheduled elections in 2024, 10 seats are held by Republicans, 20 seats are held by Democrats and three seats are held by independents who caucus with Democrats. Incumbent Democratic Senator Kirsten Gillibrand was appointed to the Senate in January 2009 to fill the vacancy created by Hillary Clinton's resignation to become Secretary . Filed under 2024 . These predictions looked at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent was running for reelection) and the other candidates, and the state's partisan lean (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). Five Democratic retirements in 2014, including four in red-leaning states, set the tone for a brutal midterm that cost Democrats nine seats, including in states like Arkansas and Louisiana that are now safely Republican. Dems' bleak 2024 map - POLITICO Others were more firm. I know she will do the state of California proud as the only Black woman in the United States Senate. Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) said he wont decide on his 2024 plan until the end of this year or early next but is vigorously fundraising, doing everything that a candidate does. Sen. Bernie Sanders Think we're missing something? 2024 United States Senate election in West Virginia - Wikipedia There are 33 U.S. Senate seats up for regular election in 202410 seats held by Republicans, 20 held by Democrats, and three held by independents who caucus with Democrats. [47] The expensive nature of the race has led media sources to speculate that a wealthy candidate may decide to launch a self-funded campaign, akin to Rick Caruso's campaign in the 2022 Los Angeles mayoral election. [119], One-term Democrat Jacky Rosen was elected in 2018 with 50.4% of the vote. [31] In December 2022, Feinstein confirmed that she would not resign before the end of her term. Special elections may be held to fill vacancies that occur in the 118th Congress. 2024 Elections: Latest news and polls - POLITICO Use them to create and share your own Senate forecast. The latest coverage of the 2024 presidential, House and Senate elections. But candidate strength is unsettled", "Taylor Robson considering U.S. Senate run in 2024", https://www.cnn.com/2023/04/10/politics/senate-republicans-primary-challenges-trump/index.html, https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/arizona-sheriff-mark-lamb-running-for-us-senate-seat-held-by-sinema/ar-AA19JaMi, https://morningconsult.com/2022/01/31/doug-ducey-mark-kelly-kyrsten-sinema-approval-rating-arizona/, "Dianne Feinstein will not seek re-election, ending pioneering political career", https://ustimespost.com/gop-attorney-eric-early-announces-senate-campaign/, https://www.oc-breeze.com/2022/05/16/213250_long-beach-rwf-to-welcome-future-senate-candidate-denice-gary-pandol-to-june-11-breakfast-meeting/, https://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/443/202211149546774443/202211149546774443.pdf, https://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/840/202207189522175840/202207189522175840.pdf, "Delaware's Heated Senate Race Threatens to Rip Apart Its Centrist Political Fabric", "Five Democrats who may retire ahead of 2024 Senate elections as GOP seeks control", "Old Bay melee: Maryland Dems circle as Cardin weighs reelection", "Melbourne lawyer floats Primary challenge to Rick Scott", "Rick Scott faces uncertain future after bruising midterm year", "Murphy leaves Congress as bipartisan dealmaker. Cruz is running for a third-term despite advocating for congressional term limits. Results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. EST and aggregated from the most recent polls from the sources listed in the methodology section below. 1. Incumbent: Democrat Joe Manchin. | POLITICO illustration/Photos by AP, Getty Images, iStock. 2024 Senate Election Forecast Maps - 270toWin After the elections, Sen. Kyrsten Sinema announced she had changed her party affiliation from Democrat to independent. 2024 United States Senate election in California. Mayor Breed, other community leaders stump for Rep. Lee in U.S. Senate race", "LA Mayor Karen Bass endorses Barbara Lee for Senate", "The Race to Succeed Dianne Feinstein in California Gets Even More Crowded", "Paparian Announces Endorsements Pasadena Now", "Voters prefer Newsom in Sacramento + McCarthy to speak at CAGOP + Bass endorses Lee", "Barbara Lee, a Longtime Congresswoman, Is Running for Senate in California", "u.s. Rep. Barbara Lee Announces Run For Senate", "U.S. Rep Barbara Lee formally kicks off Senate campaign in Oakland", "@BarbaraLeeForCA! [130], Three-term Democrat Sherrod Brown was re-elected in 2018 with 53.4% of the vote. [90][91], Former U.S. Representative Stephanie Murphy,[92] former U.S. Representative Debbie Mucarsel-Powell and state Senator Shevrin Jones are seen as potential Democratic candidates. } Special elections during the preceding Congress. Still, Democrats best 2024 pick-up opportunities are probably Texas and Florida not exactly fertile ground. -webkit-columns: 3; [61], Two-term Democrat Tim Kaine was re-elected in 2018 with 57.0% of the vote. You make up your mind after you have a chance to talk everything over with your family.. The 2024 United States Senate election in Virginia will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Virginia. Margin; WY: John Barrasso: R: R+43.4: WV: [40] However, in February 2023, she finally confirmed that she would retire, ending a political career that spanned over 50 years. columns: 3; [14] The 2024 election is only the second California Senate race without an incumbent since 1992, with the other being the 2016 election following the retirement of Barbara Boxer. columns: 3; [3] Representative Elissa Slotkin is running for the Democratic nomination. Sen. Sherrod Brown of Ohio, which Trump won by 8 points, said he still plans to run for reelection in his red-tilting state, a big shot in the arm for Schumer and whoever chairs the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. This 3-part Senate map lets you view the current Senate, make a forecast for the 2024 Senate elections, and see the composition of the 2025 Senate based on those predictions. We show the 'Battleground' races as toss-up until the forecaster issues an actual rating later this year. [145][142], Three-term independent Bernie Sanders was re-elected in 2018 with 67.4% of the vote. Republicans took over the House following November's midterm elections. As a result, they are expected to differentiate themselves from each other based on their life stories and individual strengths rather than their ideologies. Its a personal decision. t. e. The 2024 United States Senate election in New York will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New York. [45], Two-term Republican Ben Sasse resigned his seat on January 8, 2023, to become President of the University of Florida. Though Sanders hasnt ruled out a third run for president, three of President Joe Bidens former primary rivals are committed to running for reelection to the chamber. Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a . Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) said that I think Im gonna run for re-election, Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) said shes made it very clear shes running again, and Sen. Bob Casey (D-Pa.) said running again is my goal. Share or Embed your Map: Select 'Share Map' button above. When counted with a party, the map will display a striped result. During the Democratic primary of the race, Carper implied that he might not seek re-election in 2024, and, when asked about it, said, "This may be the last time." [139] Former U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development and former San Antonio Mayor Julin Castro, U.S. Representative Colin Allred, state Senator Roland Gutierrez, and state Representative James Talarico are also considered possible Democratic candidates. The special election will be held to fill the last two years of the six-year term that Ben Sasse (R) was elected to in 2020. Sen. Martin Heinrich (D-N.M.) said hes putting all the pieces together to seek a third term. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2024 Senate forecast. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will not run for a seat in the US Senate next year, according to her office, clearing the way for incumbent New York senator . Whether the 80-year-old President Joe Biden is mostly unpopular among young voters, or equaling his best-ever. In these general elections, the winners will be elected for the term beginning January 3, 2025. [5], The map for these elections, like in the previous Class 1 Senate election in 2018, is considered by elections analysts to be unfavorable to Democrats, who will be defending 23 of the 33 seats of Class 1. [134][135][136][137], Three-term Democrat Sheldon Whitehouse was re-elected in 2018 with 61.4% of the vote. These are the top Senate races to watch in 2024 - MSN @media screen and (max-width: 892px) { Braun is retiring to prepare to run for Governor of Indiana instead. On February 22, 2023, Tester announced he is running for a fourth term. And this is not the place for that announcement. President: general election : 2024 Polls | FiveThirtyEight And the 2024 Senate race is no exception. Geoff Bennett: Arizona is always a closely watched state. Manchin has received cross-party endorsements from fellow senators Susan Collins (R-ME) and Lisa Murkowski (R-AK). CNN Indiana GOP Sen. Mike Braun filed paperwork on Wednesday to run for governor, a move that will trigger an open seat race to replace him come 2024. -webkit-columns: 3; [86] Possible Republican candidates include lobbyist Robert Hyde and lawyer Peter Lumag. The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2024 - trib.com because some [Republicans] will lose. West Virginia. United States Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2024 Early action electrifies 2024 Senate battle - POLITICO As with any other 2024 state, you can use the Map Color Palette or rotate through the colors by clicking on the map. Senate Dems face brutal 2024 map with at least eight undecided incumbents - POLITICO Of the 33 Senate seats up for election next term, 23 are held by Democrats. West Virginia. ", https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/720637/florida-florida-florida-falls-off-the-senate-map/?unlock=QCQ2Y0EOOWXI2UZU, "GOP Rep. Banks jumps into race for open Indiana Senate seat", "Hoosier free-for-all? Gallego. It is the percentage of people polled who responded favorably toward the work of the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives. All Rights Reserved. [115], U.S. An updated analysis of each race can be found here ($). [79], Five-term Democrat Dianne Feinstein was re-elected in 2018 with 54.2% of the vote against another Democrat. So the options are wide open,. Am I undecided? Sen. Sinema changed her partisan affiliation from Democrat to Independent after the 2022 elections. Policy: Christopher Nelson Caitlin Styrsky Molly Byrne Jimmy McAllister Samuel Postell Representatives Barbara Lee,[21] Katie Porter,[24] and Adam Schiff[81] have announced that they are running for the seat. That makes for a tough cycle and it gets even harder if incumbents choose not to run. Sisolak. However, Politico pointed out that the 2016 election had an "early and prohibitive frontrunner" in Kamala Harris while the 2024 election has no clear frontrunner, and thus considered the 2024 election to be the first truly open California Senate race in 32 years. Sen. Joe Manchin isn't one to shy away from attention . The 2024 United States Senate election in Ohio will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Ohio.Incumbent three-term Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown is running for reelection to a fourth term in office. Before he had his first midterm in 1926, Coolidge was re-elected as president in 1924. The current 2024 Senate ratings from The Cook Political Report. First published on Sun 30 Apr 2023 10.53 EDT. columns: 1; I am all in. Ohio. [32], In January 2023, with the question of Feinstein's re-election decision still up in the air, Democratic U.S. Representative Katie Porter announced she would run for Senate. Its too early to make those types of decisions, Cardin said. On March 27, 2023, Warren announced that she is running for re-election. And this is not the place for that announcement, said Sheldon Whitehouse of Rhode Island. Now they just need a Senate candidate", "Feinstein says she won't step down early from Senate", "Rep. Katie Porter's most viral moments in Congress", "Adam Schiff's Chances of Winning Feinstein's Senate Seat in 2024 Run", "Trump impeachment star Adam Schiff announces U.S. Senate run", "Barbara Lee tells lawmakers she's running for Senate", "Democratic Rep. Barbara Lee files bid for open Senate seat in California", "Exclusive: Sen. Dianne Feinstein won't announce her plans for 2024 until 2024", "California Dems prepare for fierce Senate battle", "These Democrats hoping to replace Feinstein largely agree on policy. On February 14, 2023, Feinstein announced that she will not seek re-election to a sixth term.[80]. The primary is August 6, 2024. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own forecast. The 2024 Senate map just got even more difficult for Democrats - CNN Alex Wong/Getty Images, The real question is, is what do we wake up to on November 9, or 10th? ", "Cruz control: Texas Republican keeps his distance from 2024 White House hunt", "Dallas Democrat Colin Allred ponders Senate bid against Ted Cruz", "Romney, now a GOP maverick, undecided on future in politics", "Should Mitt Romney run for reelection in 2024? At the moment, the only assumed Democratic retirement is 89-year-old Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.), who has not announced any plans. Trump won the Buckeye State by. In a July 2018 report, Ballotpedia defined wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in the last 100 years resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party. Republicans need 50 seats if they win the vice presidency or 51 if they do not. Numerous other federal, state, and local elections, including the U.S. presidential election and elections to the House, will also be held on this date. 1. I feel like Im accomplishing something. [95][96], Indianapolis Mayor Joe Hogsett, a former Indiana Secretary of State and former chair of the Indiana Democratic Party, is seen as a potential candidate for the Democratic nomination. [28] However, due to his role in a worse-than-expected midterm for Republicans, Scott is seen as potentially vulnerable to a primary challenge. Some of those wrestling with whether to run hold safe seats, like Ben Cardin of Maryland and Tom Carper of Delaware. By Nathaniel Rakich. These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. He is running for re-election. The Senate's top Republican thinks so", "Utah House Speaker Brad Wilson forms committee to explore run for Romney's Senate seat", "Top Trump ally gears up for Romney primary challenge", "Virginia Democratic Sen. Tim Kaine announces he's running for reelection in 2024 | CNN Politics", "Billionaire Peltz draws GOP megadonors to $5,000-a-plate fundraiser for Democrat Sen. Joe Manchin", "Manchin says he'll decide his 'political future' in December", "Manchin weighs another term as his influence peaks", https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/meetthepressblog/wis-businessman-decide-senate-run-labor-day-rcna80438, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2024_United_States_Senate_elections&oldid=1152677882, This page was last edited on 1 May 2023, at 16:59. In each special election, the winner's term begins immediately after their election is certified by their state's government. Im thinking about it. | Independent Senators Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Angus King (I-Maine) caucus with the Democratic Party. All 33 Class 1 Senate seats and one Class 2 seat are up for election in 2024; Class 1 currently consists of 20 Democrats, 3 independents who caucus with the Senate Democrats, and 10 Republicans. Gallego: 43%. U.S. Senate : 2024 Polls | FiveThirtyEight Even as the caucus pushes to expand a 50-50 majority this fall, it's bracing for a fight to defend 23 seats to the GOPs 10 in the next election cycle many of them in red and purple territory. 2024 United States Senate election in California - Wikipedia But the 2024 Senate race in Ohio is currently considered a toss-up, as Republicans have made significant gains in the state in the last two election cycles. [31] U.S. Representative Jared Golden (ME-02) is considered a potential candidate for the Democratic nomination. Ruben Gallego is a Democratic Party candidate for office. Its certainly a more expansive map for us, said Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D-Mich.), the caucus No. NOTE: At this early point in the cycle, Inside Elections is categorizing each Senate race as either 'Solid' or 'Battleground'. However, she has yet to make an official announcement. The initial 2024 Senate ratings from Split Ticket. Senate Dems face brutal 2024 map with at least eight undecided That makes for a tough cycle. 2024 United States elections - Wikipedia The following races are rated as safe for the incumbent party. This week, Rep. Alex Mooney (R-W.V.) ", "Angus King readies 2024 campaign that would make him Maine's oldest senator", https://www.politico.com/news/2023/05/01/cardin-not-running-for-reelection-00094653, "Raskin gets top Democratic slot on U.S. House Oversight Committee", "Cardin raises just $29K in late 2022, fueling speculation about his political plans", "Elizabeth Warren, 73, announces Senate re-election campaign | Fox News", "Once Baker's heir apparent, Karyn Polito will leave office with him. Return here to share it. And will they try again. Elections to the U.S. Senate will be held on November 5, 2024, and 33 of the 100 seats are up for regular election. Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.), one of several rising younger senators, said he has no plans other than to run for reelection.. [97][98], Two-term Independent incumbent Angus King was re-elected in 2018 with 54.3% of the vote in a three candidate election. A FiveThirtyEight Chat. Operations: Meghann Olshefski Mandy Morris Kelly Rindfleisch United States Senate elections, 2024 - Ballotpedia Republicans picked up four seats and Democrats picked up two seats. ", "Katie Porter and the 'bad boss' problem", "California Senate race sets up clash of titans", "California's Crowded Senate Primary Race Is Set to Be Most Expensive in History", "Porter rakes in $1.3M in first 24 hours of Senate bid", "PACs poised to supercharge California Senate campaign", "The California Senate Race Begins With a Scuffle Over Candidates' Progressive Bona Fides", "Barbara Lee joins growing Democratic field to claim Feinstein's Senate seat", "Feinstein's absence puts focus on Newsom's 2020 promise to appoint a Black woman senator", "Can Barbara Lee Win A Tough Senate Race? Depending on whether the Democrats win the presidency (and have a Democratic vice president who can break Senate ties), they can afford to lose zero to one Senate seats and maintain a majority.. [106], Four-term Democrat Debbie Stabenow was re-elected in 2018 with 52.3% of the vote. And Ill probably make a decision early next year. [43][42] Other important factors include geography, as Schiff and Porter both represent southern California while Lee represents northern California, and diversity, as a victory by Schiff would leave California with no female Senators for the first time since 1992 while a victory by Lee would make her the first black woman in the Senate since Harris left office in 2021. [26], Two-term Democrat Joe Manchin was re-elected in 2018 with 49.6% of the vote. announced that he would be running for Senate in 2024 with the hopes of making it through a Republican primary to challenge Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin.. } His retirement is likely to create a highly competitive . Polls ending April 24, 2023 President: general election, 2024 April 23, 2023 President: general election, 2024 April 21, 2023 President: general election, Texas, 2024 April 20, 2023. (I-Vt.) said it was too early to talk about whether he might run for reelection. [45] However, all three candidates quickly began raising large sums of money; for example, in the first 24 hours of her campaign, Porter raised over $1.3 million.

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